Everybody thinks they know better

Er, when did it become likely that the Brexit negotiations would drag on beyond 2021? When did this even become possible, never mind probable? Has the Lisbon Treaty been renegotiated? Because, barring that, Article 50 of that treat continues to stipulate a strict two-year period for negotiations. A period which can only be extended with the agreement of all remaining member nations of the EU. When did it become likely that such agreement would be forthcoming?

There is absolutely no reason to suppose the Brexit negotiations might run beyond the March 2019 deadline. No reason, that is, other than that it suits Carolyn Leckie’s argument to suppose this would happen.

And what is “Nicola Sturgeon’s timetable”? It sometimes seems that everybody and their therapist is claiming the right to define this “timetable” on the First Minister’s behalf. In reality, no firm timetable has been set. Nicola Sturgeon isn’t so stupid as to narrow her options for no good reason. Her consistent position has been that it is Theresa May who is setting the timetable. The closest Nicola Sturgeon has come to pinning herself down is to tentatively link a new independence referendum to a point when the outcome of the Brexit process is sufficiently clear. Which is characteristically clever. Because it effectively leaves her “timetable” wide open. The point at which a new referendum becomes justified is so undefined that it could be any time at all between right now and the March 2019 cut-off date.

Nicola Sturgeon has been careful, and clever, enough to give herself the maximum amount of leeway in deciding on a date for #ScotRef. It’s easy to understand why her political opponents would want to limit her options. It’s not so clear why Carolyn Leckie would wish to do so. Unless, of course, there was a calculation that this might advance the agenda of the righteous radicals who are determined to push the SNP to the left regardless of the consequences for the party’s electoral prospects and, thereby, for the independence campaign.

Because, despite the incessant urging from those who would find ‘honourable defeat’ a satisfactory outcome, there is no rational reason to suppose that a lurch to the left would benefit the SNP. If there were, then surely the likes of Carolyn Leckie would be setting out that rational case rather than bending the reality of the Brexit process to suit her purpose and imagining constraints on First Minister’s options which simply don’t exist.


If you find these articles interesting, please consider a small donation.
All monies received are used in furtherance of the campaign
to restore Scotland’s rightful constitutional status.

Advertisements

About Peter A Bell

Thinker. Listener. Talker. Reader. Writer. None of my attitudes are immutable. None of my conclusions are final. None of my opinions are humble.
This entry was posted in Politics and tagged , . Bookmark the permalink.

One Response to Everybody thinks they know better

  1. Hugh Wallace says:

    If RISE were a growing political faction then there might be grounds for the SNP to move to the left. But it isn’t & there aren’t. It pains me to say this but, there are stronger grounds for the SNP to move to the right to gain, rather than lose, voters. Personally, I don’t think their rightness or leftness is the issue at this particular moment.

    Liked by 1 person

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s